
El Niño threatens the global sugar market with shortages and rising prices

Ministry of Agrarian Policy Says How Much Winter Crop Area Will Decline

Global Markets Could Lose 38 Million Tonnes of Grain from the Black Sea Region if Ports Do Not Resume Normal Operations

Soybean production in Ukraine in 2026 will amount to 3.8 million tonnes, of which 2.8 million tonnes will be processed. Exports will total 1 million tonnes.

The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) has raised its production forecasts and lowered its estimates for wheat and barley exports from Ukraine in the 2026/27 marketing year.

The overall oilseed production potential in Ukraine in the 2026/27 marketing year remains significantly higher than last year due to the expected recovery in yields despite adjustments to planted areas.

Ukraine’s grain exports in the 2026/27 marketing year will amount to 38–40 million tonnes, which is 12% lower compared with previous estimates.

The Ukrainian Grain Association (UGA) has raised its forecast for Ukraine’s 2026 grain and oilseed harvest to 84.6 million tonnes, up from the 83.6 million tonnes projected in June.

The outlook for this year’s corn harvest will become clearer in the coming weeks, but analysts are already lowering production forecasts for Western Europe, particularly France and Spain. Against this backdrop, Ukraine’s corn export potential could reach a record level since the start of the full-scale invasion.

The Ukrainian Grain Association (UGA) forecasts Ukraine’s 2026 grain and oilseed harvest at 83.6 million tonnes, compared to an estimated 80 million tonnes in 2025.

The value of agricultural land in Ukraine may increase by 80-100% in dollar terms over the next three years.

Livestock production in Ukraine in 2026 is expected to decrease by 2.3% compared with the previous year and amount to UAH 197.9 billion in constant 2021 prices.

Export of Ukrainian honey in 2026 may decrease to 40-45 thousand tons.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has lowered its forecast for grain exports from Ukraine in 2025/26 MY.

World sunflower production in 2026/27 MY may reach a record 62-63 mln tonnes, which will significantly exceed 56.9 mln tonnes in the current season and the previous record of 59.4 mln tonnes in 2023/24 MY