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Among the world’s three most widely traded pulse crops — lentils, chickpeas and peas — Ukraine is a significant player only in the pea market. However, agricultural exports are currently facing difficulties, even though the volumes involved are relatively small: in the 2026/27 marketing year, Ukraine is expected to export 600 thousand tonnes of peas. The problem lies not only in blocked sea routes but also in constant attacks on infrastructure and vessels, meaning that restoring logistics to the required capacity will take considerable time.

At the end of September, the Ukrainian Pulses and Soybean Association (UPSA) brought together representatives of agribusiness and international trade from 30 countries at AgroFoodSummit 2026 in Mersin, Türkiye.

Global durum wheat production is forecast to increase by 0.6 million tonnes in the 2026/27 marketing year, which is significant on the scale of the global market. At the same time, durum stocks are expected to increase further this season by around 1.7 million tonnes compared with last year.

Given the logistics difficulties, the diversified agro-industrial company Agroprodservice, which operates a fully closed production cycle, has revised its crop rotation and shifted primarily to crops that can be used for its own needs.

In southern Ukraine, farmers are reducing the area sown with winter crops by around 30–40%. For now, farmers are taking a wait-and-see approach to better understand the market situation, but in spring they will have to decide which crops to grow.

The global market could receive up to 38 million tonnes less grain from the Black Sea region if the limited operation of Black Sea ports continues until the end of the 2026/27 season.