
It Will Take a Month to Return to Previous Export Volumes After Port Operations Resume

Agricultural Sector Losses from Export Disruptions Could Reach $1.5–3 Billion

AgroFoodSummit: Ukraine and Türkiye are entering a new chapter in agricultural trade

Exporting Ukrainian grain via alternative routes inevitably increases logistics costs. Freight rates at Danube ports have more than doubled over the past month and continue to rise.

The suspension of seaborne exports is expected to have the greatest impact on Ukraine’s wheat market.

Ukraine’s foreign trade deficit reached $28.3 billion in the first half of 2026, while demand for foreign currency remains high. Each day that Black Sea ports remain closed costs the country approximately $70 million in export revenue.

The Ukrainian government, the diplomatic corps, and all relevant state institutions are working around the clock to restore the normal operation of the country’s ports.

Over the past few weeks, the security situation around Ukrainian seaports has significantly deteriorated. According to the Ukrainian Sea Ports Authority, in the first two weeks of July alone, Russia carried out 23 strikes on Ukrainian ports and 17 attacks on civilian vessels. Over the past week, freight rates have nearly doubled to $40+ per metric ton.

Agrein Group continuously monitors the export logistics situation and operates on the principle of route diversification. For the company, it is essential not to depend on a single logistics corridor, which is why its supply chains can be quickly adapted whenever conditions change.

After more than four years of full-scale war, Ukraine’s agricultural sector has learned to operate under constant logistics risks. As a result, scenarios involving partial disruptions to port operations have long been incorporated into the day-to-day operations of TAS Agro.

The enemy continues to terrorize the peaceful Odesa region and is trying to obstruct the work of the Ukrainian sea corridor. Today, russians attacked two cargo ships flying the flags of Barbados and Panama in the Black Sea with drones strikes, which were sailing through the sea corridor.

Russian forces attacked the Danube and Greater Odesa ports with drones on the night of May 1.

The port of Chornomorsk is working to eliminate the consequences of a sunflower oil spill after the shelling by Russian troops.