Ukraine

Problems with the maritime export of agricultural products could stimulate the development of domestic processing in Ukraine.

Ukraine has officially approached the Polish side with a proposal to double the number of trains crossing border checkpoints.

The global pulses market is entering the 2026/27 marketing year from very different positions. In some countries, harvests are falling short of expectations, while others are becoming increasingly dependent on imports, and traditional trade flows are changing under the influence of weather, logistics and demand from the largest consumers. Ukraine is entering the new season with a substantial supply of peas: 779.02 thousand tonnes have already been harvested.

From August 1 to 18, Ukraine exported 900,000 tonnes of agricultural products. This represents 31% of the volume that could have been exported if there had been unrestricted access to the ports of Greater Odesa.

Ukraine confidently maintains its status as one of the world’s leading honey exporters despite the challenges of the full-scale war, logistical difficulties and the European Union’s reintroduction of tariff quotas.

Moldovan farmers are threatening large-scale protests if the authorities do not reconsider the decision to grant Ukraine a discount on rail freight transportation.

Trade turnover in agricultural goods between Ukraine and the European Union in January–June 2026 increased by $847 million (+11%) compared with the same period last year and amounted to $8.55 billion.

In the first 13 days of August, Ukraine increased agricultural exports through road border crossing points by 8.9% compared with the same period in July.

Despite an increase in dairy product exports in July, Ukraine supplied fewer commodities to foreign markets.

At the current pace of limited exports without the ports of Greater Odesa, Ukraine will effectively face a shortage of domestic grain storage capacity in November, which could amount to between 8 million and 11 million tonnes.

Alternative routes for exports of grain, oilseeds and their processed products through the Danube region, by rail and road transport, during periods of their active use, provided a maximum of up to 50% of the volume that was shipped through the ports of Greater Odesa.

In August, vessels are no longer calling at the ports of Greater Odesa. From August 1 to 12, Ukraine exported 590 thousand tonnes of grain, which is 30% of the required volume. Currently, about 45% of agricultural exports are transported by rail, about 45% through the Danube region, and 10% by road.

The suspension of exports through seaports could result in tens of billions of dollars in lost revenue for Ukraine’s agricultural sector.

In July, Ukraine imported 8.79 thousand tonnes of dairy products, which was 1% more than in June 2026 and 71% more than in July 2025.

The effective halt of Ukrainian and Russian sunflower oil supplies through the main Black Sea and Azov Sea ports has created uncertainty in the market and is changing the rules of the game in the sector.

The rail transit corridor through Moldova is capable of transporting 4.5 million tonnes of grain per year.

Ukraine’s grain exports in the 2026/27 marketing year will amount to 38–40 million tonnes, which is 12% lower compared with previous estimates.

Production of cereal crops has declined significantly, driving up prices for staple cereals.

The export potential for peas this season is forecast at 350 thousand tonnes, which is 75% higherthan in the previous season. Experts hope that access to the Chinese market will stimulate exports.