Grain exports

Russian attacks on civilian vessels and port infrastructure have effectively halted traffic to the ports of Greater Odesa. Ukraine is expanding exports by rail, road and via the Danube. However, these routes will be able to provide only about half the capacity of the Black Sea ports. This poses a threat to exports of Ukraine’s harvest and the stability of global food markets.

Using alternative logistics routes will cost agricultural producers an additional €50–70 per tonne of products, while the total losses of Ukraine’s agricultural sector could amount to $1.5–3 billion. This is why the support of international partners is critically important both for Ukraine and for preserving global food security.

The suspension of seaborne exports is expected to have the greatest impact on Ukraine’s wheat market.

The Ukrainian Grain Association (UGA) has raised its forecast for Ukraine’s 2026 grain and oilseed harvest to 84.6 million tonnes, up from the 83.6 million tonnes projected in June.

The Ukrainian government, the diplomatic corps, and all relevant state institutions are working around the clock to restore the normal operation of the country’s ports.

Ukraine has confirmed its readiness to receive an Algerian inspection mission as soon as possible and to provide all necessary conditions for the inspection of a milk powder production facility.

International demand for Ukrainian wheat remains stable despite the effective suspension of grain exports through the ports of Greater Odesa due to intensified Russian attacks.

Over the past several days, only four to five vessels have been calling at Ukraine’s Black Sea ports due to Russian attacks, and vessel traffic was suspended on 22 July. The Ukrainian government is currently working to resolve the situation and will take all possible measures to ensure the continued stability of exports through the Black Sea ports.

NIBULON JV LLC strengthened its position in the international grain market during the 2025/26 marketing year.

The volume of grain and legume exports from Ukraine in the 2025/26 marketing year (ending on June 30) amounted to nearly 36.9 million tonnes as of June 26, which is 3.8 million tonnes, or 9% lessthan in the previous season.

Ukraine is expanding its share of wheat supplies to Egypt amid a weakening dominance of Russia in the market.

The wheat and corn market is entering its most turbulent period in the past thirty years. Previous crises — the global food crisis of 2007–2008, supply disruptions in 2010 and the U.S. drought in 2012 — were largely driven by a single factor: a harvest shock, a spike in oil prices or a short-term financial panic. Today, the global grain market is being pressured simultaneously by at least eight structural factors.

The Ukrainian Grain Association (UGA) forecasts Ukraine’s 2026 grain and oilseed harvest at 83.6 million tonnes, compared to an estimated 80 million tonnes in 2025.

More than 197 million tonnes of cargo have been transported through the Ukrainian maritime corridor since it began operating in 2023.

Ukraine will work to increase supplies and promote higher value-added products, including poultry products, pork products, processed foods and other categories that generate more income within the country.

In April of the 2025/26 MY, Ukraine exported almost 5.2 million tonnes of grains and oilseeds.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has lowered its forecast for grain exports from Ukraine in 2025/26 MY.

On April 22–23, Kyiv will host the BLACK SEA GRAIN.KYIV-2026 conference, with a key focus on UA Agro Restart: Strategies for the Future 2026–2030.