Exports of high-oleic sunflower oil in the 2025/26 MY may decline to around 207 thousand tonnes, down 8% compared with the 2024/25 MY.
This forecast was announced by analysts at APK-Inform.
Experts explained that Ukraine’s high-oleic sunflower sector has not yet been able to return to its pre-war positions. The partial recovery of acreage in recent years has effectively been offset by weather risks and unstable premiums.
At the same time, certain changes are being observed in the geography of exports. In the current season, from September to March, the main importer of Ukrainian high-oleic sunflower oil — the European Union — reduced purchases to 84.3 thousand tonnes, down 22%. This accounted for 60% of total supplies, compared with 72% in the previous season over the same period.
Instead, the market is actively opening up new growth points outside Europe:
«Although the overall export geography of this product has been quite broad, covering around 50 countries, we are actually seeing a decline in dependence on a single region. This could become the main driver for Ukraine’s high-oleic segment in the coming years,» the experts summarized.

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